In fact, you just need to look at the numbers to know that Indymac was a disaster just waiting to happen. Look at its Texas ratio. What's a Texas ratio? The Texas ratio is a formula worked out by economists at the Royal Bank of Canada during the series of Texas bank failures during the 1980s. It is calculated by dividing a bank's non-performing loans, including those 90 days delinquent, by the company's tangible equity capital plus money set aside for future loan losses. The RBC economists noted that banks almost inevitably fail when this ratio reaches 1:1, or 100% or greater.
What was Indymac's Texas ratio? 140%. A disaster jut waiting to happen. Remember the failure of ANB Financial National Association back in May? ANB had a Texas ratio of 344%!
Now, a recent study by Research Associates of America lists 10 banks with a Texas ratio over 100% in the US:
Colorado Federal Savings Bank | Greenwood Village | CO | 244.8 |
Eastern Savings Bank, FSB | Hunt Valley | MD | 222.7 |
Integrity Bank | Alpharetta | GA | 191.6 |
Ameribank, Inc. | Welch | WV | 153.7 |
First Priority Bank | Bradenton | FL | 122.6 |
First Security National Bank | Norcross | GA | 112.1 |
Magnet Bank | Salt Lake City | UT | 110.4 |
Security Pacific Bank | Los Angeles | CA | 102.8 |
First National Bank of Brookfield | Brookfield | IL | 102.1 |
The State Bank of Lebo | Lebo | KS | 100.6 |
Now, that's not a guarantee those banks will fail,but I for one would think long and hard before investing or depositing in any of those banks. The bigger US banks are better, but still uncomfortably high in their Texas ratios, in my opinion. Wachovia, for example, is at 78%, according to that impeccable source YahooAnswers.
Contrast that with the well-regulated Canadian banks (Canada has the best banking system in the world): Bank of Montreal has a Texas ratio of 11%; Bank of Nova Scotia 10%; Royal Bank of Canada 8%; Canadian Imperial 8%; National Bank 5%; and Toronto-Dominion Bank 3%. Now, I actually think that the Canadian banks could stand to be a little more risky with their Texas ratios, especially now that their gargantuan record profits are starting to slip, but I actually have full confidence in the Canadian banking system to come out on top, so I'll trust management on this one.